These charges are supposed to be about lowering Canada's carbon emissions, something that hasn't happened
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Brian Lilley
Published May 18, 2023 • Last updated May 18, 2023 • 3 minute read
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Justin Trudeau’s second carbon tax, set to take effect July 1, will soon be costing Canadian families more than $1,000 per year.
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LILLEY: Trudeau's second carbon tax to cost Canadians big time Back to video
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That shock figure comes from an analysis by the Parliamentary Budget Officer (PBO) looking at costs across the country and by province between now and 2030.

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The analysis also finds that the Clean Fuel Regulations, also known as Trudeau’s second carbon tax, will hit lower income families much harder.
“Since lower income households generally spend a larger share of their income on transportation and other energy-intensive goods and services compared to higher income households, on average the Clean Fuel Regulations will have a greater impact on these households,” said Yves Giroux, the PBO.
The Clean Fuel Regulations are part of the Trudeau government’s overall plan to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. While the government doesn’t describe the regulations as a tax, the effect of the regulations is the same — a fee is levied by government for a policy reason.
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Like the “price on carbon,” these regulations are a tax by any other name.
On average, the report from the PBO says that by 2030, lower income households will be paying an extra $230 per year, or 0.62% of their disposable income due to the new tax. Higher income households will be paying an additional $1,008 which is a higher amount but at 0.35% of their disposable income, represents a much lower impact on spending.
“Relative to household disposable income, PBO results show that the Clean Fuel Regulations are broadly regressive. That is, the cost to lower income households represents a larger share of their disposable income compared to higher income households,” the report states.
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Where you live also has an impact on how hard Trudeau’s second carbon tax will hit your wallet.
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In Ontario, the estimate is the bottom 20% of income earners will pay an additional $217 by 2030 while the top 20% will pay an average of $495 extra. In Quebec, the extra costs will range from $178 to $436, while in Manitoba the range is from $237 to $611.
In Alberta and Saskatchewan, the costs are much higher “reflecting the higher fossil fuel intensity of their economies.”
By 2030, the bottom 20% of income earners in Saskatchewan will pay an extra $38 per year while the top 20% will pay an additional $1,117. In Alberta, the range is from $370 to $1,157.
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre said the Trudeau Liberals are bringing in this new tax when Canadians are already struggling.
“This at a time when bankruptcies and insolvency are on the rise and one in five Canadians are skipping meals because they can’t afford the price of food,” Poilievre said.
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According to the Office of the Superintendent of Bankruptcies, insolvencies were up by 28% in March, the last period reported on. Food bank use is climbing across the country and now Trudeau will add a new “charge” that will add direct costs for Canadians and also indirect costs to the goods they buy.
Earlier this year, the PBO released a report that said the total impact of the carbon tax was higher than the Trudeau government was claiming.
“Based on our analysis, most households will pay more in fuel charges and GST — as well as receiving slightly lower incomes — than they will receive in Climate Action Incentive payments,” the report said.
When the analysis of the two reports is combined, a middle-income family in Ontario will be paying $1,771 per year more due to both charges by 2030. In Manitoba, that combined tax increase amounts to $1,130, while in Saskatchewan it works out to $1,213 annually and $1,859 in Alberta.
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The PBO report on the Clean Fuel Regulations states that by 2030, the additional costs will add 17 cents per litre for gasoline and 16 cents for diesel. Unlike the original carbon tax, there are no rebates for the increased costs imposed by the Clean Fuel Regulations.
“So there’ll be carbon tax one, then carbon tax two, and then HST on carbon tax one and two, all of which will cost you 61 cents a litre in higher Trudeau taxes every time you gas up to go to work,” Poilievre said, adding the new regulations will increase the costs for home heating and groceries.
The Conservative leader promised that if elected, he would scrap the two carbon taxes and let Canadians keep more of their own money.
The sad thing is, all of these charges that Trudeau has brought in are supposed to be about lowering Canada’s carbon emissions, something that hasn’t happened and likely won’t in the near future.
blilley@postmedia.com
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FAQs
LILLEY: Trudeau's second carbon tax to cost Canadians big time? ›
Article content. Justin Trudeau's second carbon tax, set to take effect July 1, will soon be costing Canadian families more than $1,000 per year.
What is the second carbon tax in Canada? ›The second carbon tax is embedded within federal clean fuel regulations set to take effect on July 1, 2023. The regulations will require producers to reduce the carbon content of their fuels. If they can't meet those requirements, they'll have to pay the second carbon tax.
Which party introduced the carbon tax in Canada? ›2008: Dion election proposal
An unpopular revenue-neutral carbon tax was proposed in 2008 during the Canadian federal election, by Stéphane Dion, then leader of the Liberal Party.
In total, 84.1% of GHG emissions in Canada are subject to a positive Net Effective Carbon Rate (ECR) in 2021, up from 70.9% in 2018. With roughly 15 percentage points, the coverage increase is largest for carbon taxes.
What is the economic impact of carbon tax in Canada? ›Impacts on GDP
The difference in GDP in 2022 would amount to about $2 billion, or 0.1% of GDP. The average annual outlook for real GDP growth over this period would be 1.8%, either with or without federal carbon pricing.
Under the federal system, relief is provided for farmers, fishers, residents of rural and small communities, users of aviation fuel in the territories, greenhouse operators, and power plants that generate electricity for remote communities.
Is Canada the only country with a carbon tax? ›The 27 countries with significant carbon tax include
Argentina, Canada, Chile, China, Colombia, Denmark, The European Union, Japan, Kazakhstan, South Korea, Mexico, New Zealand, Norway, Singapore, South Africa, Sweden, the UK, and Ukraine.
A carbon tax is a tax on energy sources that emit carbon.
How much does the Canadian government make on carbon tax? ›Nationally, revenues totalled CA$2.42 billion in 2019. That is expected to increase to CA$8.27 billion in 2022-23 as the carbon price rises. The federal government has set the floor price through the end of the decade. It will increase by CA$15 per year until it hits CA$170 in 2030 (teal line in Figure 2, below).
How long has the carbon tax been in Canada? ›In 2008, the Canadian province of British Columbia introduced North America's first revenue-neutral carbon tax applied to the purchase or use of fuel in British Columbia. The carbon tax has been hailed as the most comprehensive of its kind, covering approximately 70% of provincial emissions.
Which country has the highest carbon tax? ›
As of April 1, 2022, Uruguay had the highest carbon tax rate worldwide at 137 U.S. dollars per metric ton of CO2 equivalent (USD / tCO2e). Uruguay's carbon tax was first established in January 2022.
Who pays the carbon tax in Canada? ›There are two overarching systems for pricing carbon in Canada: the fuel charge, which is the carbon tax that Canadians pay on gasoline, diesel, natural gas, and other hydrocarbon fuels; and the output-based pricing system (OBPS), which applies a charge to large industrial emitters.
Why does Canada produce so much carbon? ›These increases are primarily due to GHG emissions resulting from human activities such as the use of fossil fuels or agriculture. This changing climate has impacts on the environment, human health and the economy. The indicators report estimates of Canada's emissions of GHGs over time.
What are the negatives of carbon tax? ›For example, a carbon tax on fossil fuels is often regressive in its impact- hurting poorer people relatively more than richer ones. Even when it might be progressive, poorer people still suffer a welfare loss when prices rise, making their consumption basket more expensive.
How would a carbon tax affect the US? ›A carbon tax increases energy costs in proportion to the carbon content of the source of energy. On account of the different carbon-intensity of fuels, price impacts are most significant for energy produced with coal, then petroleum, then natural gas. Higher carbon tax rates cause larger changes in energy prices.
Does China have a carbon tax? ›China does not have a carbon tax at this time. Carbon taxes have been advocated by a number of academics.
Who benefits most from carbon tax? ›It returns revenue
The federal carbon tax is required by law to return all revenues to the province where they were collected. Most families (typically lower and middle income families) will receive more in rebates than they pay in carbon taxes.
Fuel charge rates – April 2023 to April 2030
The rates also reflect a carbon pollution price that will increase from $65 per tonne in 2023 to $170 per tonne by 2030.
Carbon taxes are a price tag put on fossil fuel emissions to disincentivize their use and promote a switch to green energy. Carbon pricing captures the external costs of greenhouse gas emissions and ties them to their sources, typically by placing a price on carbon dioxide emissions.
Does anywhere in the US have a carbon tax? ›No U.S. state has a carbon tax.
Why is carbon tax bad in Canada? ›
Cons of carbon taxes:
Implemented on their own, carbon taxes can be harmful to lower-income families. These households tend to use a higher percentage of their income on high-emission activities, such as heating homes and transportation, than those with higher income. This makes carbon tax a regressive tax.
Nevertheless, the CICC found that Canada's oil and gas producers have among the lowest average carbon costs of any sector. This contrasts with producers in some other oil-rich countries, like Norway, which makes its oil companies pay a carbon tax on top of the EU's emissions market.
Does Russia have a carbon tax? ›As Russia has no carbon tax or emissions trading in place, it can be vulnerable to future carbon tariffs imposed by the EU or other export partners.
What country is the largest carbon producer? ›- China. China is the largest emitter of carbon dioxide gas in the world, with 10,668 million metric tons emitted in 2020. ...
- The U.S. The U.S. is the second-largest emitter of CO2, with 4,713 million metric tons of total carbon dioxide emissions in 2020. ...
- India.
In Germany, CO2 certificates are issued at a fixed price of 30 euros per tonne in 2023 - the same price level as last year, to shield consumers from rising prices in the energy crisis.
Is carbon tax increasing in Canada? ›Between those years, the federal government raised $22 billion in carbon pricing revenues. With the carbon tax increasing to $65 per tonne, about $8.2 billion is expected to be collected from the carbon tax alone in 2022-23.
How much carbon does Canada contribute to the world? ›For more information, please consult the Caveats and limitation section. Source: World Resources Institute (2022) Climate Watch Country Historical Greenhouse Gas Emissions. In 2019, Canada ranked as the 10th GHG emitting country/region. Canada's share of global emissions decreased from 1.8% in 2005 to 1.5% in 2019.
Does Nova Scotia pay carbon tax? ›The OBPS is designed to meet the federal minimum carbon pricing benchmark of CAD 65 (USD 50) in 2023 as set in the 'Update to the Pan-Canadian Approach to Carbon Pollution Pricing 2023-2030 '. The federal cabinet approved Nova Scotia's proposal, and the new system took effect in January 2023.
Does British Columbia still have a carbon tax? ›Article content. The B.C. government introduced a new carbon tax model for industry in its 2023 budget and a modest increase in spending to build climate-resilient provincial roads and bridges.
How successful has the carbon tax been in British Columbia? ›According to the World Bank, British Columbia's carbon tax policy has been very effective in spurring fuel efficiency gains. Further, the resulting decreases in fuel consumption did not harm economic growth. On the contrary, the province has outperformed the rest of Canada since 2008.
What is the carbon tax in Mexico? ›
A carbon tax was introduced in Mexico for fossil fuel production. Its base rate is USD 3.5/tCO2 and offsets are allowed through Certified Emission Reductions (CERs) units from Kyoto Protocol's Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) registered projects.
What is the most carbon free country? ›Bhutan is the world's first carbon negative country. Mainly because of its extensive forests, covering 70% of the land, the Kingdom is able to absorb more carbon dioxide than it produces.
Where is the highest tax in the world? ›Côte d'Ivoire citizens pay the highest income taxes in the world according to this year's survey findings by World Population Review.
Who pays the fuel charge Canada? ›The Federal Fuel Charge appears as a separate line item on natural gas bills and consumers must pay it just like any other federal charge, such as the GST.
How much is the carbon tax in Canada 2023? ›April 1, 2023: $123.90 per 10³m³ (approximately $3.25/GJ) April 1, 2024: $152.50 per 10³m³ (approximately $4.00/GJ) April 1, 2025: $181.10 per 10³m³ (approximately $4.75/GJ)
What is the carbon tax in Sweden? ›Swedish carbon tax rates
The carbon tax was introduced in 1991 at a rate corresponding to SEK 250 (EUR 25) per tonne fossil carbon dioxide emitted, and has gradually been increased to SEK 1 330 (EUR 122) in 2023 (currency conversion based on an exchange rate of SEK 10.87 per EUR).
It may surprise you, but Canada is the top polluter per person in the world, followed by America and Russia. China has over 1.3 billion more people than Canada, yet the average Canadian emits far more greenhouse gas emissions – by 24 metric tons in 2014.
What is the biggest polluter in Canada? ›POLLUTANTS IN CANADA
In Canada, mining was responsible for more than half (54 per cent) of all reported industrial pollutants in 2020, trailed by oil and gas extraction (16 per cent), utilities (7 per cent), primary metal manufacturing (6 per cent) and petroleum and coal products manufacturing (five per cent).
Human activities are responsible for almost all of the increase in greenhouse gases in the atmosphere over the last 150 years. The largest source of greenhouse gas emissions from human activities in the United States is from burning fossil fuels for electricity, heat, and transportation.
Would a carbon tax hurt the economy? ›Because carbon-intensive industries tend to be highly capital-intensive and getting prices right will reduce demand for capital relative to labor, causing not only capital returns to fall relative to wages, but also increasing economy-wide labor demand.
What is the argument for carbon tax? ›
Carbon taxes minimize the total cost to society of emission reductions. Greenhouse gases are a classic negative externality, Meli noted — they generate substantial costs that are borne by society at large, not just the person or organization responsible for the emissions.
How can we avoid carbon tax? ›Under a carbon tax, the government sets a price that emitters must pay for each ton of greenhouse gas emissions they emit. Businesses and consumers will take steps, such as switching fuels or adopting new technologies, to reduce their emissions to avoid paying the tax.
How much money could a carbon tax raise? ›How much revenue might a carbon tax raise? The amount of revenue raised depends on the level of the tax, how broadly it is applied, and other factors. Most experts suggest a tax of around $25 per ton of CO2, which would raise approximately $125 billion annually.
How will carbon tax slow climate change? ›Because these taxes increase the prices of fossil fuels, electricity, and general consumer products and lower prices for fuel producers, they promote switching to lower-carbon fuels in power generation, conserving on energy use, and shifting to cleaner vehicles, among other things.
What is the cost of carbon in the US? ›What are the estimates of the social cost of carbon? They vary. The Obama administration initially estimated the social cost of carbon at $43 a ton globally, while the Trump administration only considered the effects of carbon emissions within the United States, estimating the number to be between $3 and $5 per ton.
Does Japan have a carbon tax? ›The carbon levy will be introduced from around 2028/29 on fossil fuel importers such as refiners, trading houses and electricity utilities. The initial levy will be set low but will gradually rise.
Does China tax more than US? ›Comparably, the Chinese tax rates are higher, meaning many American expats in China would pay more in tax locally than in the U.S.
Who are the biggest carbon traders? ›- Carbon Trade Exchange. This exchange gathers multiple players under one service. ...
- Xpansive. This exchange has evolved to incorporate new technology. ...
- Toucan Protocol. ...
- AirCarbon Exchange. ...
- Carbon Expert Romania. ...
- Texas Climate and Carbon Exchange.
British Columbia, New Brunswick, the Northwest Territories and Quebec have their own independent plans for both parts. In 2022, the federal carbon price was $50 per ton of carbon dioxide. The price will be going up by $15 a ton each April until it reaches $170 a ton in 2030. What does all this mean for you?
What is the carbon credit tax in Canada? ›What is the CAIP. The CAIP is a tax-free amount paid to help individuals and families offset the cost of the federal pollution pricing. It is available to residents of Alberta, Saskatchewan, Manitoba and Ontario. It consists of a basic amount and a supplement for residents of small and rural communities.
Does BC have two carbon taxes? ›
The British Columbia carbon tax has been in place since 2008. It is a British Columbia policy that adds additional carbon taxes to fossil fuels burned for transportation, home heating, and electricity and reduces personal income taxes and corporate taxes by a roughly equal amount.
Where does Canada's carbon tax money go? ›It is not. In fact, the most effective thing the federal carbon taxes – which are going up again in 2023 – does is fill government coffers. 74 per cent of carbon tax revenue goes straight to general revenue on Ottawa's books. 14 per cent goes back to taxpayers, somehow.
Does US have carbon tax? ›No U.S. state has a carbon tax.
How does carbon credits work in Canada? ›These credits can be traded to make up for the production of greenhouse gases generated by industry, transportation or other activities. We can generate carbon credits from forests and other natural areas, such as wetlands by calculating the amount of carbon stored in the biomass (trees, soil, plants, etc.).
What province pays highest carbon tax? ›On the other hand, British Columbia had the highest carbon tax in Canada for years yet B.C.'s emissionsincreased by about eight per cent between 2015 and 2019. Canada's emissions also increased during the first year of Trudeau's national carbon tax.
Does Ontario have a carbon tax? ›As part of the federal government's carbon pricing program, a carbon charge applies to fossil fuels sold in Ontario, including natural gas. On April 1, 2023, the federal carbon charge for natural gas increased to 12.39 cents per cubic metre (m3). This charge increases annually each April.